
Transaction log
Feb 18, 2020 - Bought 225 @ $14.34 (3.23% wtg, opportunistic)
Mar 10, 2020 - Bought 35 @ $11.60 (260 shares, 2.87% wtg)
Apr 27, 2020 - Bought 90 @ $7.84 (350 shares, 2.63% wtg)
Nov 30, 2020 - Sold 100 @ $18.20 (250 shares, 3.70% wtg)
Jan 19, 2021 - Sold 50 @ $22.98 (200 shares, 3.52% wtg)
Mar 1, 2021 - Sold 100 @ $26.54 (100 shares, 2.03% wtg)
Mar 9, 2021 - Sold 50 @ $30.01 (50 shares, 1.02% wtg)
May 27, 2022 - Bought 50 @ $13.52 (100 shares, 0.80% wtg)
American Eagle Outfitters
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Profile
Industry: Apparel retail
Sector: Consumer discretionary
Theme: Retailers survive Amazon.com threat
5-Year shareholder growth: +4.3%/year
Estimated fair value: $28
Valuation assumption: 7.0% MFCF yield
AEO and CROX up after reporting better Q4 sales and margins…
Retailers can’t get a break: first lockdowns, now supply chain issues, food and energy inflation, and consumers crying “uncle.” Adding to AEO and BIG. [trades]
High yield bonds yield just 4.52%, or less than 3% above 10-year Treasuries. That spread has ranged from 2.5% to 20% over the past 20 years. At these levels, high yield bonds are priced for nirvana. [trades]
With retailers up, gold stocks down, and speculative excesses everywhere, it’s time for a bit of rebalancing. [trades]
With speculation off the charts, margin debt cracking $700 billion for the first time and a new administration committed to spending, borrowing and printing its way to prosperity, it seems prudent to play a bit more defense… [trades]
Time for some minor rebalancing: trim American Eagle, add gold & silver. [trades]
Corporate executives and directors went on a buying spree the past three months in down-and-out stocks.
"Buy when there's blood in the streets." This adage certainly applies to retailers severely impacted by government shutdowns. [trades]
Yesterday's rout in stocks and crude oil had the smell of panic… This panic is creating opportunity… [trades]
The anchor tenants in the retail section of our portfolio are American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) and Skechers USA (SKX).