Transaction log

  • Feb 18, 2020 - Bought 70 @ $38.14 (2.67% wtg, coffee can)

  • Mar 14, 2022 - Sold 20 @ $94.51 (50 shares, 2.90%)

CF Industries

Location: Deerfield, Illinois

 

Profile

Industry: Agricultural inputs (fertilizer)

Sector: Basic materials

Theme: Commodity renaissance

5-Year shareholder growth: +38.1%/year

Estimated fair value: $194

Valuation assumption: 7.0% MFCF yield

Operating income/gross profit: 87.6%

Insider ownership: 0.75%

Investors: Whitney George (SII)

Estimated fair value history

  • Mar-24 - $121 (8.0% MFCF yield)

  • Jun-24 - $121

  • Sep-24 - $126

  • Dec-24 - $129

  • Mar-25 - $136

  • Jun-25 - $148

  • Sep-25 - $157

  • Dec-25 = $194 (7.0% MFCF yield)