
Transaction log
May 16, 2022 - Bought 25 @ $57.03 (0.91% wtg, opportunistic)
Aug 9, 2022 - Bought 20 @ $70.35 (45 shares, 2.24% wtg)
Oct 5, 2023 - Bought 10 @ $84.96 (55 shares, 3.14% wtg)
Aug 7, 2025 - Bought 10 @ $79.25 (65 shares, 2.35% wtg)
Estimated fair value history
Jun-24 - $165 (6.0% MFCF yield)
Sep-24 - $186
Dec-24 - $194
Mar-25 - $201
Jun-25 - $206
Crocs
Location: Broomfield, Colorado
Profile
Industry: Footwear & accessories
Sector: Consumer discretionary
Theme: Emerging markets consumer
5-Year shareholder growth: +31.2%/year
Fair value estimate: $206
Valuation assumption: 6.0% MFCF yield
Insider ownership: 3.0%
Bill Fleckenstein calls Wall Street analysts “dead fish” for their inability to think critically and anticipate the future ahead of the crowd. This CROX downgrade is just the latest example.
Crocs is getting body slammed, down 25%, after issuing weak Q3 guidance due in part to tariffs. Overreaction? [trade]
Crocs was down 19% on disappointing Q3 results. Cause for concern or buying opportunity?
AEO and CROX up after reporting better Q4 sales and margins…
Introducing Coffee Can rule #19: Water the flowers, pull the weeds. [trades]
Crocs brand president Michelle Poole: “The key trends we see emerging in China and well-aligned to the Crocs brand are self-expression and personalization, clogs and travel.”
CROX Q2: wholesale snags at HEYDUDE have investors selling, stock down 14%. This feels like an overreaction as the rest of the business is humming, HEYDUDE problems likely short-term in nature. At 9 x earnings, CROX is too cheap.
Does Crocs have legs? A first look at the HEYDUDE acquisition.
While GAMCO underwhelms with its ESG bona fides, Crocs overwhelms with its HEYDUDE acquisition. R.I.P. Olivia Newton-John. [trades]
Negatives: recession on the way, big tech stocks still not cheap. Positives: bearish sentiment, lots of selling pressure below the surface. How these countervailing forces resolve themselves is an open question, but many high quality growth stocks are reasonably priced. [trades]