Transaction log
Feb 18, 2020 - Bought 35 @ $43.83 (1.53% wtg, opportunistic)
Mar 13, 2020 - Bought 30 @ $22.33 (65 shares, 1.80% wtg)
Aug 18, 2020 - Bought 35 @ $19.86 (100 shares, 1.51% wtg)
Jan 27, 2021 - Sold 20 @ $47.11 (80 shares, 2.54% wtg)
May 11, 2021 - Sold 30 @ $57.46 (50 shares, 1.95% wtg)
Mar 30, 2022 - Bought 20 @ $29.35 (70 shares, 1.39% wtg)
Jul 1, 2024 - Sold 30 @ $22.35 (40 shares, 0.52% wtg)
Apr 8, 2025 - Sold 40 @ $6.66 (closed, 0% wtg)
Performance
Total return = -62.62%
Coffee Can contribution = -1.22%
Kohl’s
Location: Menomonee Falls, Wisconsin
Profile
Industry: Department stores
Sector: Consumer discretionary
Theme: Retailers survive Amazon.com threat
5-Year shareholder growth: -15.9%/year
Fair value estimate: $17
Valuation assumption: 0.5 x tangible book value
Donald Trump’s trade war black swan lurks. Probably not a bad time to stress-test the portfolio and get a bit more defensive. [trades]
Kohl’s trades like it’s going out of business. Are there better turnaround opportunities among retailers?
If BIG can get through this rough patch (no guarantee; the stock is not without risk), they could eventually earn $8.00 assuming operating margins return to 6%. The downside is zero; the upside is easily 5-10x. [trade]
While gold has held up ok, gold stocks have been dragged down with other risk assets. Buying Fred Hickey favorite Alamos Gold, adding to Kohl’s… [trades]
The most speculative stocks peaked in mid-February. Even though the broad averages rallied to new highs, the underlying deterioration has worsened. [trades]
Speculation is off the charts, surpassing the 2000 dot-com bubble. On what planet is GameStop, a company heading towards banktuptcy, worth $21.7 billion? This will not end well. We're taking profits in some of our retailers which have rallied in sympathy. [trades]
Stock -16% on Q2 earnings miss. I continue to like Kohl’s as a survivor in the depressed department store space… [trade]
Corporate executives and directors went on a buying spree the past three months in down-and-out stocks.
Neither company is setting the world on fire, though they’re holding their own in a tough retail environment… What these companies lack in growth, however, they make up for in cash generation.