Profile

Industry: Semiconductors

Sector: Technology

Theme: Artificial intelligence

5-Year shareholder growth: +70.0%/year

Estimated fair value: $71

Valuation assumption: 3.0% MFCF yield

Insider ownership: 3.9%

Investors: Tom Slater (Baillie Gifford)

Put buyers: Fred Hickey (The High-Tech Strategist)

Transaction log

  • Sep 3, 2025 - Bought 200 NVDD @ $4.30 (0.38% wtg, portfolio insurance)

  • Sep 25, 2025 - Bought 200 NVDD @ $4.14 (0.70% wtg)

Nvidia

Location: Santa Clara, California

 

Estimated fair value history

  • Oct-24 - $61 (2.5% MFCF yield)

  • Jan-25 - $73

  • Apr-25 - $71 (3.0% MFCF yield)

History
Is Nvidia ringing the bell with its $100 billion OpenAI investment?
Is Nvidia ringing the bell with its $100 billion OpenAI investment?

Nvidia is goosing demand for its GPUs by infusing its customers with cash. This brings back bad memories of the dot-com bubble (vendor financing).

Bonus feature: the insane valuation gap between Tesla and BYD. [trades]

Is it time to short Nvidia and Tesla?
Is it time to short Nvidia and Tesla?

I’ve decided to dip my toe in the single-stock bear ETF water as the bear cases for Nvidia and Tesla are too tempting to pass up. [trades]

Picks and pans from the 2025 Barron’s Midyear Roundtable
Picks and pans from the 2025 Barron’s Midyear Roundtable

No shortage of ideas (picks and pans) from this year’s midyear roundtable!

Apple and Tesla spoil the Magnificent 7 party
Apple and Tesla spoil the Magnificent 7 party

The Magnificent 7 looks more like the Magnificent 4. How much longer can this narrowing rally continue?

Buying South Korean e-commerce giant Coupang
Buying South Korean e-commerce giant Coupang

Time to go bargain hunting in Asia. Also adding to portfolio insurance ahead of Nvidia earnings after the close. [trades]

Semiconductor industry shows widespread weakness outside of Nvidia
Semiconductor industry shows widespread weakness outside of Nvidia

Nvidia’s gain is the rest of the industry’s pain. Fred Hickey sounds the alarm. Orders from China may be fueling the Nvidia bubble.