Profile
Industry: Auto manufacturing
Sector: Consumer discretionary
Theme: Autonomous driving
5-Year shareholder growth: +19.1%
Estimated fair value: $66
Valuation assumption: 4.0% MFCF yield
Insider ownership: 11.7%
Investors: Tom Slater (Baillie Gifford)
Short sellers/put buyers: Fred Hickey (The High-Tech Strategist), Brett Schafer (Chit Chat Stocks)
Transaction log
Sep 3, 2025 - Bought 100 TSLS @ $7.30 (0.32% wtg, portfolio insurance)
Sep 25, 2025 - Bought 100 TSLS @ $5.57 (0.47% wtg)
Dec 15, 2025 - Bought 100 TSLS @ $4.88 (0.56% wtg)
Dec 29, 2025 - Bought 100 TSLS @ $4.88 (0.73% wtg)
Mar 10, 2026 - Stock split 1-for-10 (40 shares, 0.83% wtg)
Tesla
Location: Austin, Texas
Estimated fair value history
Dec-24 - $62 (4.0% MFCF yield)
Mar-25 - $60
Jun-25 - $58
Sep-25 - $58
Dec-25 - $60
Mar-66 - $66
With signs of froth becoming more apparent, we’re selling Pan American Silver and adding to our AI bubble short bets. [trades]
As Peter Atwater likes to say, bubbles unwind on a LIFO basis. If so, Oracle’s major reversal is telling us something. Time to grab a parachute and add to our portfolio insurance. [trades]
Nvidia is goosing demand for its GPUs by infusing its customers with cash. This brings back bad memories of the dot-com bubble (vendor financing).
Bonus feature: the insane valuation gap between Tesla and BYD. [trades]
I’ve decided to dip my toe in the single-stock bear ETF water as the bear cases for Nvidia and Tesla are too tempting to pass up. [trades]
Hesai Group co-founder David Li talks about the great autonomous vehicle debate: Which technology will prevail, cameras or LiDAR? Li says both.
The future of electric vehicles and autonomous driving looks bright.
The Magnificent 7 looks more like the Magnificent 4. How much longer can this narrowing rally continue?